Nevada vs Southern Miss 12/24/2011
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
Southern Miss is a solid favorite with a 62% chance to beat Nevada. Jamal Woodyard is projected for 69 rushing yards and a 40% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 38% of simulations where Nevada wins, Cody Fajardo averages 1.61 TD passes vs 0.58 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.92 TDs to 0.72 interceptions. Lampford Mark averages 117 rushing yards and 1.34 rushing TDs when Nevada wins and 101 yards and 0.79 TDs in losses. Southern Miss has a 28% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 75% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SMISS -6.5 --- Over/Under line is 61.5
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Nevada | ATS RECORD | Southern Miss | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 5-8-0 | All Games | 9-4-0 | Southern Miss |
| Road & Neutral Field | 2-5-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 6-2-0 | Southern Miss |
| When Underdog | 2-3-0 | When Favored | 6-4-0 | Southern Miss |
| Non-Conference Opp | 4-2-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 3-1-0 | Southern Miss |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-3-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 6-0-0 | Southern Miss |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
| Nevada | ATS RECORD | Southern Miss | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 7-6-0 | All Games | 6-6-0 | Nevada |
| Road & Neutral Field | 3-4-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 3-4-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 2-0-0 | When Favored | 5-3-0 | Nevada |
| Non-Conference Opp | 4-2-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 1-3-0 | Nevada |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-3-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-2-0 | Southern Miss |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Nevada | O-U-P RECORD | Southern Miss | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-7-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-6-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 3-4-0 | At Home | 2-3-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals 2010 | 6-7-0 | All Totals 2010 | 9-3-0 | OVER |
| On Road 2010 | 3-4-0 | At Home 2010 | 4-1-0 | OVER |
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