Army vs Navy 12/10/2011
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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Army winning 44% of simulations, and Navy 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Army commits fewer turnovers in 31% of simulations and they go on to win 61% when they take care of the ball. Navy wins 71% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Trent Steelman is averaging 71 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 56%. Alexander Teich is averaging 104 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NAVY -7 --- Over/Under line is 56
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Army | ATS RECORD | Navy | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 4-6-0 | All Games | 5-5-0 | Navy |
| Road & Neutral Field | 1-5-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 4-2-0 | Navy |
| When Underdog | 3-4-0 | When Favored | 2-4-0 | Army |
| Conference Opp | 0-0-0 | Conference Opp | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 2-2-0 | Opp Under .500 | 2-3-0 | Army |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
| Army | ATS RECORD | Navy | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 6-6-0 | All Games | 7-5-0 | Navy |
| Road & Neutral Field | 5-3-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 4-3-0 | Army |
| When Underdog | 5-4-0 | When Favored | 4-4-0 | Army |
| Conference Opp | 0-2-0 | Conference Opp | 2-0-0 | Navy |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-4-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 5-1-0 | Navy |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Army | O-U-P RECORD | Navy | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-5-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-5-0 | No Edge |
| On Road | 5-1-0 | At Home | 3-1-0 | OVER |
| All Totals 2010 | 8-4-0 | All Totals 2010 | 6-6-0 | OVER |
| On Road 2010 | 5-3-0 | At Home 2010 | 3-2-0 | OVER |
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