January 03, 2012 1:09 PM UTC

Arizona State vs Boise State 12/22/2011

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Boise State is a heavy favorite winning 80% of simulations over Arizona State. Kellen Moore is averaging 340 passing yards and 2.8 TDs per simulation and Doug Martin is projected for 110 rushing yards and a 71% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 20% of simulations where Arizona State wins, Brock Osweiler averages 2.44 TD passes vs 0.82 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.24 TDs to 1.12 interceptions. Cameron Marshall averages 92 rushing yards and 1.17 rushing TDs when Arizona State wins and 78 yards and 0.57 TDs in losses. Boise State has a 44% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 88% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BST -13.5 --- Over/Under line is 65.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Arizona StateATS RECORDBoise StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-8-0All Games5-8-0Boise State
Road & Neutral Field2-4-0Road & Neutral Field5-2-0Boise State
When Underdog1-2-0When Favored5-8-0Boise State
Non-Conference Opp0-3-0Non-Conference Opp4-2-0Boise State
Opp .500+ Record2-5-0Opp Under .5003-5-0Boise State

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

Arizona StateATS RECORDBoise StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-1-2All Games9-4-0Arizona State
Road & Neutral Field5-1-0Road & Neutral Field6-1-0Boise State
When Underdog5-1-2When Favored8-4-0Arizona State
Non-Conference Opp1-0-0Non-Conference Opp8-4-0Arizona State
Opp .500+ Record4-0-2Opp Under .5004-2-0Arizona State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Arizona StateO-U-P RECORDBoise StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)10-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)7-5-1OVER
On Road5-1-0At Home1-4-1OVER
All Totals 20106-4-0All Totals 20107-6-0OVER
On Road 20104-2-0At Home 20104-2-0OVER

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