Alabama vs LSU 1/9/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Alabama winning 47% of simulations, and LSU 53% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Alabama commits fewer turnovers in 26% of simulations and they go on to win 62% when they take care of the ball. LSU wins 61% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Trent Richardson is averaging 83 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. Spencer Ware is averaging 43 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (15% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LSU +1 --- Over/Under line is 40
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Alabama | ATS RECORD | LSU | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 8-2-1 | All Games | 10-2-0 | LSU |
| Road & Neutral Field | 4-0-1 | Road & Neutral Field | 7-0-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 8-2-1 | When Underdog | 2-0-0 | LSU |
| Conference Opp | 6-1-1 | Conference Opp | 8-1-0 | LSU |
| Opp .500+ Record | 5-1-1 | Opp .500+ Record | 8-2-0 | Alabama |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
| Alabama | ATS RECORD | LSU | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 7-5-0 | All Games | 6-6-0 | Alabama |
| Road & Neutral Field | 3-3-0 | Road & Neutral Field | 3-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 7-5-0 | When Underdog | 2-2-0 | Alabama |
| Conference Opp | 3-5-0 | Conference Opp | 4-4-0 | LSU |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-5-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-3-0 | LSU |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Alabama | O-U-P RECORD | LSU | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-6-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 8-4-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 3-2-0 | At Home | 4-1-0 | OVER |
| All Totals 2010 | 5-7-0 | All Totals 2010 | 6-5-1 | UNDER |
| On Road 2010 | 5-1-0 | At Home 2010 | 3-3-0 | OVER |
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