Southern Miss vs Western Kentucky 9/22/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Southern Miss winning 48% of simulations, and Western Kentucky 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Southern Miss commits fewer turnovers in 19% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. Western Kentucky wins 60% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Anthony Alford is averaging 45 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (25% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. Antonio Andrews is averaging 58 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WKY -5 --- Over/Under line is 48.5
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Southern Miss | ATS RECORD | Western Kentucky | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 0-2-0 | All Games | 2-0-0 | Western Kentucky |
| Road & Neutral Field | 0-1-0 | Home Games | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 0-1-0 | When Favored | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 0-1-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 2-0-0 | Western Kentucky |
| Opp .500+ Record | 0-0-0 | Opp Under .500 | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
| Southern Miss | ATS RECORD | Western Kentucky | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 9-4-0 | All Games | 10-1-0 | Western Kentucky |
| Road & Neutral Field | 6-2-0 | Home Games | 5-1-0 | Western Kentucky |
| When Underdog | 3-0-0 | When Favored | 2-0-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 3-1-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 2-1-0 | Southern Miss |
| Opp .500+ Record | 6-0-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 3-1-0 | Southern Miss |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Southern Miss | O-U-P RECORD | Western Kentucky | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 1-1-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 1-1-0 | No Edge |
| On Road | 1-0-0 | At Home | 0-0-0 | OVER |
| All Totals 2010 | 7-6-0 | All Totals 2010 | 7-4-0 | OVER |
| On Road 2010 | 5-3-0 | At Home 2010 | 3-3-0 | OVER |
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