September 20, 2012 6:45 PM UTC

Florida Atlantic vs Alabama 9/22/2012

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Alabama is a heavy favorite winning 100% of simulations over Florida Atlantic. AJ McCarron is averaging 278 passing yards and 3.8 TDs per simulation and T.J. Yeldon is projected for 64 rushing yards and a 68% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 0% of simulations where Florida Atlantic wins, Graham Wilbert averages 0.5 TD passes vs 0.5 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.2 TDs to 0.95 interceptions. Damian Fortner averages 11 rushing yards and 0 rushing TDs when Florida Atlantic wins and 21 yards and 0.04 TDs in losses. Alabama has a 52% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 100% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ALA -49 --- Over/Under line is 57

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Florida AtlanticATS RECORDAlabamaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games1-1-0All Games2-1-0Alabama
Road & Neutral Field1-1-0Home Games0-1-0Florida Atlantic
When Underdog1-1-0When Favored2-1-0Alabama
Non-Conference Opp1-0-0Non-Conference Opp1-1-0Florida Atlantic
Opp .500+ Record1-1-0Opp Under .5001-0-0Alabama

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

Florida AtlanticATS RECORDAlabamaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3-9-0All Games9-2-1Alabama
Road & Neutral Field2-5-0Home Games4-2-1Alabama
When Underdog3-8-0When Favored9-2-1Alabama
Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Non-Conference Opp2-1-0Alabama
Opp .500+ Record2-3-0Opp Under .5002-1-0Alabama

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Florida AtlanticO-U-P RECORDAlabamaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2-0-0All Totals (O-U-P)1-2-0OVER
On Road2-0-0At Home0-1-0OVER
All Totals 20105-7-0All Totals 20105-7-0UNDER
On Road 20102-5-0At Home 20102-4-0UNDER

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