January 03, 2014 2:40 AM UTC

Virginia Tech vs UCLA 12/31/2013

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Virginia Tech winning 42% of simulations, and UCLA 58% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Virginia Tech commits fewer turnovers in 33% of simulations and they go on to win 52% when they take care of the ball. UCLA wins 68% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Trey Edmunds is averaging 69 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 55%. Myles Jack is averaging 41 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UCLA -7 --- Over/Under line is 47

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Virginia TechATS RECORDUCLAATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-8-0All Games9-4-0UCLA
Road & Neutral Field2-5-0Road & Neutral Field5-2-0UCLA
When Underdog2-2-0When Favored6-1-0UCLA
Non-Conference Opp0-4-0Non-Conference Opp4-0-0UCLA
Opp .500+ Record3-4-0Opp .500+ Record5-3-0UCLA

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Virginia TechATS RECORDUCLAATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-8-0All Games8-6-0UCLA
Road & Neutral Field1-6-0Road & Neutral Field4-3-0UCLA
When Underdog2-2-0When Favored4-5-0Virginia Tech
Non-Conference Opp2-1-0Non-Conference Opp3-1-0UCLA
Opp .500+ Record3-3-0Opp .500+ Record5-3-0UCLA

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Virginia TechO-U-P RECORDUCLAO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)4-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)7-5-1UNDER
On Road & Neutral Field3-4-0On Road & Neutral Field2-4-1UNDER
All Totals Last Season5-6-1All Totals Last Season9-5-0OVER
On Road & Neutral Field '134-3-0On Road & Neutral Field '135-2-0OVER

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