December 12, 2013 11:42 PM UTC

Rice vs Mississippi State 12/31/2013

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Rice winning 44% of simulations, and Mississippi State 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Rice commits fewer turnovers in 35% of simulations and they go on to win 55% when they take care of the ball. Mississippi State wins 67% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Charles Ross is averaging 102 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 57%. LaDarius Perkins is averaging 60 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MISSST -7 --- Over/Under line is 50.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

RiceATS RECORDMississippi StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-4-0All Games6-5-0Rice
Road & Neutral Field4-2-0Road & Neutral Field3-2-0Rice
When Underdog4-1-0When Favored2-2-0Rice
Non-Conference Opp3-2-0Non-Conference Opp1-2-0Rice
Opp Under .5005-2-0Opp .500+ Record5-3-0Rice

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

RiceATS RECORDMississippi StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-4-1All Games5-7-0Rice
Road & Neutral Field5-2-0Road & Neutral Field1-5-0Rice
When Underdog6-2-1When Favored5-3-0Rice
Non-Conference Opp3-3-0Non-Conference Opp1-3-0Rice
Opp .500+ Record4-0-0Opp .500+ Record2-5-0Rice

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

RiceO-U-P RECORDMississippi StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)5-7-0All Totals (O-U-P)3-8-0UNDER
On Road & Neutral Field3-3-0On Road & Neutral Field1-4-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season6-7-0All Totals Last Season4-8-0UNDER
On Road & Neutral Field '123-4-0On Road & Neutral Field '122-4-0UNDER

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