January 03, 2014 2:40 AM UTC

Mississippi State vs Rice 12/31/2013

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Mississippi State winning 57% of simulations, and Rice 43% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Mississippi State commits fewer turnovers in 42% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. Rice wins 58% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. LaDarius Perkins is averaging 59 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. Charles Ross is averaging 103 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 57%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is RICE +7 --- Over/Under line is 50.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Mississippi StateATS RECORDRiceATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-5-0All Games8-5-0Rice
Road & Neutral Field4-2-0Road & Neutral Field4-3-0Mississippi State
When Favored3-2-0When Underdog4-2-0Rice
Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Non-Conference Opp3-3-0Rice
Opp .500+ Record5-3-0Opp Under .5005-2-0Rice

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Mississippi StateATS RECORDRiceATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-7-0All Games8-4-1Rice
Road & Neutral Field1-5-0Road & Neutral Field5-2-0Rice
When Favored5-3-0When Underdog6-2-1Rice
Non-Conference Opp1-3-0Non-Conference Opp3-3-0Rice
Opp .500+ Record2-5-0Opp .500+ Record4-0-0Rice

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Mississippi StateO-U-P RECORDRiceO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)4-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)6-7-0UNDER
On Road2-4-0At Home2-4-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season4-8-0All Totals Last Season6-7-0UNDER
On Road Last Season2-4-0At Home Last Season3-3-0UNDER

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