January 03, 2014 2:40 AM UTC

Oregon State vs Boise State 12/24/2013

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Oregon State winning 47% of simulations, and Boise State 53% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Oregon State commits fewer turnovers in 37% of simulations and they go on to win 62% when they take care of the ball. Boise State wins 67% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Sean Mannion is averaging 355 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. Grant Hedrick is averaging 262 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (32% chance) then he helps his team win 73%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BST +3 --- Over/Under line is 63.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Oregon StateATS RECORDBoise StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-5-0All Games5-7-0Oregon State
Road & Neutral Field6-1-0Road & Neutral Field3-4-0Oregon State
When Favored3-3-0When Underdog1-3-0Oregon State
Non-Conference Opp1-2-0Non-Conference Opp1-3-0Oregon State
Opp .500+ Record5-3-0Opp .500+ Record1-2-0Oregon State

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Oregon StateATS RECORDBoise StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-4-1All Games6-7-0Oregon State
Road & Neutral Field3-2-1Road & Neutral Field4-3-0Oregon State
When Favored3-3-0When Underdog1-0-0Boise State
Non-Conference Opp2-1-0Non-Conference Opp3-2-0Oregon State
Opp .500+ Record5-2-1Opp .500+ Record1-4-0Oregon State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Oregon StateO-U-P RECORDBoise StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)6-6-0All Totals (O-U-P)6-6-0OVER
On Road4-3-0At Home2-3-0OVER
All Totals Last Season7-5-0All Totals Last Season6-7-0OVER
On Road Last Season4-2-0At Home Last Season1-5-0UNDER

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