October 31, 2012 5:25 PM UTC

Texas State vs Utah State 11/3/2012

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Utah State is a heavy favorite winning 94% of simulations over Texas State. Chuckie Keeton is averaging 195 passing yards and 2.3 TDs per simulation and Kerwynn Williams is projected for 94 rushing yards and a 77% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 6% of simulations where Texas State wins, Shaun Rutherford averages 1.13 TD passes vs 0.34 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.47 TDs to 0.62 interceptions. Marcus Curry averages 44 rushing yards and 0.38 rushing TDs when Texas State wins and 36 yards and 0.18 TDs in losses. Utah State has a 46% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 97% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UTST -26 --- Over/Under line is 52.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Texas StateATS RECORDUtah StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-2-0All Games7-0-1Utah State
Road & Neutral Field2-1-0Home Games3-0-1Utah State
When Underdog3-2-0When Favored3-0-1Utah State
Conference Opp2-0-0Conference Opp3-0-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record2-1-0Opp Under .5003-0-0Utah State

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

Texas StateATS RECORDUtah StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games0-0-0All Games5-7-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field0-0-0Home Games2-3-0No Edge
When Underdog0-0-0When Favored2-7-0No Edge
Conference Opp0-0-0Conference Opp0-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record0-0-0Opp No Games PlayedN/ANo Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Texas StateO-U-P RECORDUtah StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1-5-0All Totals (O-U-P)2-6-0UNDER
On Road0-3-0At Home0-3-0UNDER
All Totals 20100-0-0All Totals 20107-5-0OVER
On Road 20100-0-0At Home 20103-2-0OVER

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