Texas A&M vs Mississippi State 11/3/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Texas A&M winning 56% of simulations, and Mississippi State 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Texas A&M commits fewer turnovers in 24% of simulations and they go on to win 70% when they take care of the ball. Mississippi State wins 55% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Johnny Manziel is averaging 293 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (34% chance) then he helps his team win 73%. LaDarius Perkins is averaging 115 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MISSST +7 --- Over/Under line is 59
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Texas A&M | ATS RECORD | Mississippi State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 3-4-0 | All Games | 4-3-0 | Mississippi State |
| Road & Neutral Field | 2-2-0 | Home Games | 3-1-0 | Mississippi State |
| When Favored | 3-2-0 | When Underdog | 0-1-0 | Texas A&M |
| Conference Opp | 2-3-0 | Conference Opp | 3-1-0 | Mississippi State |
| Opp .500+ Record | 0-4-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-2-0 | Mississippi State |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
| Texas A&M | ATS RECORD | Mississippi State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 4-9-0 | All Games | 4-7-1 | Mississippi State |
| Road & Neutral Field | 1-5-0 | Home Games | 2-2-0 | Mississippi State |
| When Favored | 4-8-0 | When Underdog | 1-3-1 | Texas A&M |
| Conference Opp | 0-2-0 | Conference Opp | 3-4-1 | Mississippi State |
| Opp .500+ Record | 1-6-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 1-3-1 | Mississippi State |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Texas A&M | O-U-P RECORD | Mississippi State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-4-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 1-6-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 2-2-0 | At Home | 1-3-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals 2010 | 7-6-0 | All Totals 2010 | 4-8-0 | UNDER |
| On Road 2010 | 3-3-0 | At Home 2010 | 0-5-0 | UNDER |
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