October 31, 2012 5:25 PM UTC

New Mexico State vs Auburn 11/3/2012

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Auburn is a heavy favorite winning 86% of simulations over New Mexico State. Jonathan Wallace is averaging 201 passing yards and 1.8 TDs per simulation and Tre Mason is projected for 80 rushing yards and a 62% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 14% of simulations where New Mexico State wins, Andrew Manley averages 1.97 TD passes vs 0.69 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.85 TDs to 0.89 interceptions. Germi Morrison averages 73 rushing yards and 0.55 rushing TDs when New Mexico State wins and 61 yards and 0.23 TDs in losses. Auburn has a 48% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is AUB -22.5 --- Over/Under line is 50.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New Mexico StateATS RECORDAuburnATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games2-5-0All Games2-6-0New Mexico State
Road & Neutral Field1-3-0Home Games1-3-0No Edge
When Underdog2-4-0When Favored0-2-0New Mexico State
Non-Conference Opp0-3-0Non-Conference Opp0-2-0No Edge
Opp Under .5001-2-0Opp Under .5001-2-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

New Mexico StateATS RECORDAuburnATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-5-0All Games5-7-0New Mexico State
Road & Neutral Field4-3-0Home Games3-2-0Auburn
When Underdog7-4-0When Favored2-2-0New Mexico State
Non-Conference Opp5-4-0Non-Conference Opp1-3-0New Mexico State
Opp .500+ Record2-3-0Opp Under .5001-1-0Auburn

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New Mexico StateO-U-P RECORDAuburnO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2-5-0All Totals (O-U-P)3-5-0UNDER
On Road2-2-0At Home2-2-0No Edge
All Totals 20108-4-1All Totals 20107-5-0OVER
On Road 20104-2-1At Home 20103-2-0OVER

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