Tennessee vs Vanderbilt 11/17/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Tennessee winning 40% of simulations, and Vanderbilt 60% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Tennessee commits fewer turnovers in 35% of simulations and they go on to win 51% when they take care of the ball. Vanderbilt wins 72% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Rajion Neal is averaging 52 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (21% chance) then he helps his team win 54%. Brian Kimbrow is averaging 54 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 76%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VAN -3.5 --- Over/Under line is 60
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Tennessee | ATS RECORD | Vanderbilt | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 3-6-0 | All Games | 5-4-0 | Vanderbilt |
| Road & Neutral Field | 3-1-0 | Home Games | 2-2-0 | Tennessee |
| When Underdog | 2-2-0 | When Favored | 2-2-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 2-4-0 | Conference Opp | 4-3-0 | Vanderbilt |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-4-0 | Opp Under .500 | 2-1-0 | Vanderbilt |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
| Tennessee | ATS RECORD | Vanderbilt | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 4-6-1 | All Games | 8-4-0 | Vanderbilt |
| Road & Neutral Field | 0-3-1 | Home Games | 6-0-0 | Vanderbilt |
| When Underdog | 1-5-1 | When Favored | 4-2-0 | Vanderbilt |
| Conference Opp | 1-6-1 | Conference Opp | 5-3-0 | Vanderbilt |
| Opp Under .500 | 3-1-0 | Opp Under .500 | 3-1-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tennessee | O-U-P RECORD | Vanderbilt | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 9-0-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-5-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 4-0-0 | At Home | 2-2-0 | OVER |
| All Totals 2010 | 4-7-0 | All Totals 2010 | 8-4-0 | OVER |
| On Road 2010 | 2-2-0 | At Home 2010 | 5-1-0 | OVER |
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