November 16, 2012 5:39 PM UTC

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt 11/17/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Tennessee winning 40% of simulations, and Vanderbilt 60% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Tennessee commits fewer turnovers in 35% of simulations and they go on to win 51% when they take care of the ball. Vanderbilt wins 72% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Rajion Neal is averaging 52 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (21% chance) then he helps his team win 54%. Brian Kimbrow is averaging 54 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 76%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VAN -3.5 --- Over/Under line is 60

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

TennesseeATS RECORDVanderbiltATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3-6-0All Games5-4-0Vanderbilt
Road & Neutral Field3-1-0Home Games2-2-0Tennessee
When Underdog2-2-0When Favored2-2-0No Edge
Conference Opp2-4-0Conference Opp4-3-0Vanderbilt
Opp .500+ Record2-4-0Opp Under .5002-1-0Vanderbilt

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

TennesseeATS RECORDVanderbiltATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-6-1All Games8-4-0Vanderbilt
Road & Neutral Field0-3-1Home Games6-0-0Vanderbilt
When Underdog1-5-1When Favored4-2-0Vanderbilt
Conference Opp1-6-1Conference Opp5-3-0Vanderbilt
Opp Under .5003-1-0Opp Under .5003-1-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

TennesseeO-U-P RECORDVanderbiltO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)9-0-0All Totals (O-U-P)4-5-0OVER
On Road4-0-0At Home2-2-0OVER
All Totals 20104-7-0All Totals 20108-4-0OVER
On Road 20102-2-0At Home 20105-1-0OVER

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