Rutgers vs Cincinnati 11/17/2012
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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Rutgers winning 44% of simulations, and Cincinnati 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Rutgers commits fewer turnovers in 45% of simulations and they go on to win 55% when they take care of the ball. Cincinnati wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jawan Jamison is averaging 102 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. George Winn is averaging 97 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is CIN -6.5 --- Over/Under line is 47
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Rutgers | ATS RECORD | Cincinnati | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 6-2-0 | All Games | 6-1-0 | Cincinnati |
| Road & Neutral Field | 3-1-0 | Home Games | 3-0-0 | Cincinnati |
| When Underdog | 2-0-0 | When Favored | 4-1-0 | Rutgers |
| Conference Opp | 4-0-0 | Conference Opp | 4-0-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-1-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-1-0 | Cincinnati |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
| Rutgers | ATS RECORD | Cincinnati | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 8-4-0 | All Games | 6-6-0 | Rutgers |
| Road & Neutral Field | 4-2-0 | Home Games | 2-3-0 | Rutgers |
| When Underdog | 5-2-0 | When Favored | 4-5-0 | Rutgers |
| Conference Opp | 4-2-0 | Conference Opp | 2-4-0 | Rutgers |
| Opp .500+ Record | 6-1-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 1-3-0 | Rutgers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Rutgers | O-U-P RECORD | Cincinnati | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-5-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-3-0 | UNDER |
| On Road & Neutral Field | 2-2-0 | On Road & Neutral Field | 2-2-0 | OVER |
| All Totals 2010 | 3-9-0 | All Totals 2010 | 5-7-0 | UNDER |
| On Road & Neutral Field '10 | 1-5-0 | On Road & Neutral Field '10 | 3-4-0 | UNDER |
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