November 16, 2012 5:39 PM UTC

Rutgers vs Cincinnati 11/17/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Rutgers winning 44% of simulations, and Cincinnati 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Rutgers commits fewer turnovers in 45% of simulations and they go on to win 55% when they take care of the ball. Cincinnati wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jawan Jamison is averaging 102 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. George Winn is averaging 97 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is CIN -6.5 --- Over/Under line is 47

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

RutgersATS RECORDCincinnatiATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-2-0All Games6-1-0Cincinnati
Road & Neutral Field3-1-0Home Games3-0-0Cincinnati
When Underdog2-0-0When Favored4-1-0Rutgers
Conference Opp4-0-0Conference Opp4-0-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record3-1-0Opp .500+ Record4-1-0Cincinnati

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

RutgersATS RECORDCincinnatiATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-4-0All Games6-6-0Rutgers
Road & Neutral Field4-2-0Home Games2-3-0Rutgers
When Underdog5-2-0When Favored4-5-0Rutgers
Conference Opp4-2-0Conference Opp2-4-0Rutgers
Opp .500+ Record6-1-0Opp .500+ Record1-3-0Rutgers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

RutgersO-U-P RECORDCincinnatiO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)3-5-0All Totals (O-U-P)4-3-0UNDER
On Road & Neutral Field2-2-0On Road & Neutral Field2-2-0OVER
All Totals 20103-9-0All Totals 20105-7-0UNDER
On Road & Neutral Field '101-5-0On Road & Neutral Field '103-4-0UNDER

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