October 07, 2012 8:25 PM UTC

Oklahoma vs Texas Tech 10/6/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Oklahoma winning 51% of simulations, and Texas Tech 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Oklahoma commits fewer turnovers in 32% of simulations and they go on to win 66% when they take care of the ball. Texas Tech wins 60% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Landry Jones is averaging 281 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (34% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. Seth Doege is averaging 314 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TEXTCH +3.5 --- Over/Under line is 58.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

OklahomaATS RECORDTexas TechATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games1-2-0All Games3-1-0Texas Tech
Road & Neutral Field1-1-0Home Games1-1-0No Edge
When Favored1-2-0When Underdog0-1-0Oklahoma
Conference Opp1-1-0Conference Opp1-1-0Texas Tech
Opp .500+ Record1-1-0Opp .500+ Record2-1-0Texas Tech

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

OklahomaATS RECORDTexas TechATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-6-0All Games5-6-0Oklahoma
Road & Neutral Field4-3-0Home Games1-4-0Oklahoma
When Favored7-5-0When Underdog3-3-0Oklahoma
Conference Opp2-5-0Conference Opp2-5-0No Edge
Opp Under .5000-1-0Opp .500+ Record3-5-0Texas Tech

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

OklahomaO-U-P RECORDTexas TechO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)3-1-0OVER
On Road1-1-0At Home2-0-0OVER
All Totals 20106-7-0All Totals 20108-3-0OVER
On Road 20103-4-0At Home 20103-2-0OVER

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