October 02, 2013 12:38 AM UTC

Kentucky vs USC 10/5/2013

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USC is a heavy favorite winning 91% of simulations over Kentucky. Cody Kessler is averaging 297 passing yards and 3.5 TDs per simulation and Tre Madden is projected for 116 rushing yards and a 62% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 9% of simulations where Kentucky wins, Maxwell Smith averages 1.51 TD passes vs 1.06 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.62 TDs to 1.47 interceptions. Raymond Sanders averages 86 rushing yards and 0.65 rushing TDs when Kentucky wins and 74 yards and 0.33 TDs in losses. USC has a 44% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 96% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SC -21

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

KentuckyATS RECORDUSCATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games1-2-1All Games1-4-0Kentucky
Road & Neutral Field0-1-0Home Games1-2-0USC
When Underdog0-1-1When Favored1-3-0USC
Non-Conference Opp1-1-1Non-Conference Opp1-2-0Kentucky
Opp .500+ Record0-1-1Opp Under .5000-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

KentuckyATS RECORDUSCATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games2-9-0All Games3-10-0USC
Road & Neutral Field0-5-0Home Games3-3-0USC
When Underdog1-8-0When Favored3-8-0USC
Non-Conference Opp1-2-0Non-Conference Opp0-4-0Kentucky
Opp .500+ Record2-3-0Opp Under .5002-3-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

O-U-P RECORDO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
0-0 No Games0-0 No GamesNo Edge
0-0 No Games0-0 No GamesNo Edge
0-0 No Games0-0 No GamesNo Edge
0-0 No Games0-0 No GamesNo Edge

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