Rutgers vs Louisville 10/21/2011
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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Rutgers winning 56% of simulations, and Louisville 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Rutgers commits fewer turnovers in 57% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. Louisville wins 67% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jawan Jamison is averaging 64 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (21% chance) then he helps his team win 75%. Dominique Brown is averaging 40 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (18% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LOU -1.5 --- Over/Under line is 40
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Rutgers | ATS RECORD | Louisville | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 4-1-0 | All Games | 3-2-0 | Rutgers |
| Road & Neutral Field | 2-0-0 | Home Games | 0-2-0 | Rutgers |
| When Underdog | 3-0-0 | When Favored | 0-2-0 | Rutgers |
| Conference Opp | 2-0-0 | Conference Opp | 1-0-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-1-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 3-1-0 | Louisville |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
| Rutgers | ATS RECORD | Louisville | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 2-8-1 | All Games | 7-5-0 | Louisville |
| Road & Neutral Field | 1-4-0 | Home Games | 2-4-0 | Louisville |
| When Underdog | 2-5-1 | When Favored | 5-1-0 | Louisville |
| Conference Opp | 2-4-1 | Conference Opp | 3-4-0 | Louisville |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-3-1 | Opp Under .500 | 5-1-0 | Louisville |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Rutgers | O-U-P RECORD | Louisville | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 1-4-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-4-1 | UNDER |
| On Road | 0-2-0 | At Home | 0-2-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals 2010 | 7-4-0 | All Totals 2010 | 6-5-1 | OVER |
| On Road 2010 | 4-1-0 | At Home 2010 | 2-3-1 | OVER |
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