October 12, 2012 2:26 PM UTC

Utah State vs San Jose State 10/13/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Utah State winning 51% of simulations, and San Jose State 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Utah State commits fewer turnovers in 31% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. San Jose State wins 58% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Kerwynn Williams is averaging 84 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. David Fales is averaging 273 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SJST -3 --- Over/Under line is 46.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Utah StateATS RECORDSan Jose StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-0-1All Games4-0-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field2-0-1Home Games1-0-0No Edge
When Underdog3-0-0When Favored2-0-0No Edge
Conference Opp0-0-0Conference Opp0-0-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record2-0-1Opp .500+ Record2-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

Utah StateATS RECORDSan Jose StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-7-0All Games8-4-0San Jose State
Road & Neutral Field3-4-0Home Games3-2-0San Jose State
When Underdog3-0-0When Favored0-2-0Utah State
Conference Opp0-4-0Conference Opp1-3-0San Jose State
Opp Under .5000-5-0Opp .500+ Record3-0-0San Jose State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Utah StateO-U-P RECORDSan Jose StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)0-5-0All Totals (O-U-P)2-2-0UNDER
On Road0-3-0At Home1-0-0UNDER
All Totals 20107-5-0All Totals 20106-6-0OVER
On Road 20104-3-0At Home 20102-3-0No Edge

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