October 12, 2012 2:26 PM UTC

North Carolina vs Miami (FL) 10/13/2012

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North Carolina is a solid favorite with a 71% chance to beat Miami (FL). Giovani Bernard is projected for 86 rushing yards and a 63% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 29% of simulations where Miami (FL) wins, Stephen Morris averages 2.3 TD passes vs 0.48 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.2 TDs to 0.64 interceptions. Mike James averages 86 rushing yards and 1.14 rushing TDs when Miami (FL) wins and 75 yards and 0.65 TDs in losses. North Carolina has a 28% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 84% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MIA +6.5 --- Over/Under line is 68.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

North CarolinaATS RECORDMiami (FL)ATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3-2-0All Games3-2-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field0-2-0Home Games1-0-0Miami (FL)
When Favored3-1-0When Underdog1-2-0North Carolina
Conference Opp1-1-0Conference Opp3-0-0Miami (FL)
Opp .500+ Record2-2-0Opp .500+ Record2-2-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

North CarolinaATS RECORDMiami (FL)ATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-7-0All Games7-4-0Miami (FL)
Road & Neutral Field2-4-0Home Games3-3-0Miami (FL)
When Favored4-4-0When Underdog4-1-0Miami (FL)
Conference Opp4-4-0Conference Opp5-3-0Miami (FL)
Opp Under .5002-3-0Opp .500+ Record6-2-0Miami (FL)

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

North CarolinaO-U-P RECORDMiami (FL)O-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)3-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)4-1-0OVER
On Road1-1-0At Home1-0-0OVER
All Totals 20106-6-0All Totals 20106-5-0OVER
On Road 20103-3-0At Home 20103-3-0No Edge

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