New Mexico vs Hawaii 10/13/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with New Mexico winning 49% of simulations, and Hawaii 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. New Mexico commits fewer turnovers in 74% of simulations and they go on to win 56% when they take care of the ball. Hawaii wins 72% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Kasey Carrier is averaging 61 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. Will Gregory is averaging 48 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is HAW +4 --- Over/Under line is 53.5
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| New Mexico | ATS RECORD | Hawaii | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 3-2-0 | All Games | 1-3-0 | New Mexico |
| Road & Neutral Field | 1-2-0 | Home Games | 0-1-0 | New Mexico |
| When Favored | 1-0-0 | When Underdog | 1-3-0 | New Mexico |
| Conference Opp | 1-0-0 | Conference Opp | 0-2-0 | New Mexico |
| Opp Under .500 | 2-0-0 | Opp Under .500 | 0-2-0 | New Mexico |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
| New Mexico | ATS RECORD | Hawaii | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 5-6-0 | All Games | 3-9-0 | New Mexico |
| Road & Neutral Field | 3-3-0 | Home Games | 1-5-0 | New Mexico |
| When Favored | 0-1-0 | When Underdog | 2-2-0 | Hawaii |
| Conference Opp | 5-2-0 | Conference Opp | 1-2-0 | New Mexico |
| Opp Under .500 | 1-3-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1-6-0 | New Mexico |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New Mexico | O-U-P RECORD | Hawaii | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 2-3-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 2-2-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 1-2-0 | At Home | 1-0-0 | No Edge |
| All Totals 2010 | 4-7-0 | All Totals 2010 | 8-4-0 | OVER |
| On Road 2010 | 2-4-0 | At Home 2010 | 4-2-0 | No Edge |
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