October 12, 2012 2:26 PM UTC

Iowa vs Michigan State 10/13/2012

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Michigan State is a solid favorite with a 68% chance to beat Iowa. Le\'Veon Bell is projected for 112 rushing yards and a 60% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 32% of simulations where Iowa wins, James Vandenberg averages 1.45 TD passes vs 0.66 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.68 TDs to 0.93 interceptions. Mark Weisman averages 72 rushing yards and 0.62 rushing TDs when Iowa wins and 61 yards and 0.33 TDs in losses. Michigan State has a 40% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 77% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MICHST -9.5 --- Over/Under line is 40.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

IowaATS RECORDMichigan StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games1-3-0All Games1-5-0Iowa
Road & Neutral Field0-1-0Home Games0-4-0No Edge
When Underdog0-0-0When Favored1-5-0No Edge
Conference Opp1-0-0Conference Opp0-2-0Iowa
Opp .500+ Record1-1-0Opp .500+ Record1-2-0Iowa

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

IowaATS RECORDMichigan StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-7-0All Games10-3-0Michigan State
Road & Neutral Field1-5-0Home Games5-1-0Michigan State
When Underdog1-4-0When Favored6-1-0Michigan State
Conference Opp3-5-0Conference Opp7-2-0Michigan State
Opp .500+ Record2-5-0Opp .500+ Record7-1-0Michigan State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

IowaO-U-P RECORDMichigan StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1-3-0All Totals (O-U-P)1-4-1UNDER
On Road0-1-0At Home0-4-0UNDER
All Totals 20107-5-0All Totals 20107-6-0OVER
On Road 20102-4-0At Home 20104-2-0No Edge

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