October 25, 2012 3:10 PM CDT

Indianapolis Colts vs Chicago Bears 9/9/2012

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The Chicago Bears are a solid favorite with a 72% chance to beat the Indianapolis Colts. Matt Forte is projected for 77 rushing yards and a 45% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 27% of simulations where Indianapolis Colts wins, Andrew Luck averages 1.59 TD passes vs 0.59 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.01 TDs to 1.21 interceptions. Donald Brown averages 67 rushing yards and 0.54 rushing TDs when Indianapolis Colts wins and 42 yards and 0.22 TDs in losses. The Chicago Bears has a 72% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 83% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is CHI -10 --- Over/Under line is 43.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Indianapolis ColtsATS RECORDChicago BearsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3-3-0All Games4-2-0Chicago Bears
Road Games0-2-0Home Games2-1-0Chicago Bears
When Underdog2-2-0When Favored3-1-0Chicago Bears
Non-Division Opp3-2-0Non-Division Opp4-0-0Chicago Bears
Opp .500+ Record2-0-0Opp .500+ Record2-0-0Indianapolis Colts

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Indianapolis ColtsATS RECORDChicago BearsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-10-0All Games8-8-0Chicago Bears
Road Games3-5-0Home Games4-4-0Chicago Bears
When Underdog6-9-0When Favored4-3-0Chicago Bears
Non-Division Opp4-6-0Non-Division Opp5-5-0Chicago Bears
Opp .500+ Record5-4-0Opp Under .5003-4-0Indianapolis Colts


Indianapolis ColtsO-U-P RECORDChicago BearsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2-3-1All Totals (O-U-P)3-3-0UNDER
On Road1-0-1At Home1-2-0OVER
All Totals Last Season7-9-0All Totals Last Season9-7-0No Edge
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season6-2-0OVER

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