February 02, 2014 5:06 AM CST

Oakland Raiders vs Denver Broncos 9/23/2013

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The Denver Broncos are a heavy favorite winning 80% of simulations over the Oakland Raiders. Peyton Manning is averaging 289 passing yards and 2.6 TDs per simulation and Knowshon Moreno is projected for 72 rushing yards and a 39% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 20% of simulations where Oakland Raiders wins, Terrelle Pryor averages 1.88 TD passes vs 0.52 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.28 TDs to 1.1 interceptions. Darren McFadden averages 77 rushing yards and 0.55 rushing TDs when Oakland Raiders wins and 50 yards and 0.24 TDs in losses. Denver Broncos has a 70% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 90% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games7-9-0All Games12-6-0Denver Broncos
Road Games4-4-0Home Games7-3-0Denver Broncos
When Underdog6-7-0When Favored12-6-0Denver Broncos
Division Opp1-5-0Division Opp5-2-0Denver Broncos
Opp .500+ Record2-3-0Opp Under .5004-2-0Denver Broncos

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games5-11-0All Games10-6-0Denver Broncos
Road Games3-5-0Home Games5-3-0Denver Broncos
When Underdog4-7-0When Favored9-3-0Denver Broncos
Division Opp3-3-0Division Opp4-2-0Denver Broncos
Opp .500+ Record2-3-0Opp Under .5005-2-0Denver Broncos


Oakland RaidersO-U-P RECORDDenver BroncosO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)8-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)11-7-0OVER
On Road5-3-0At Home6-4-0OVER
All Totals Last Season6-9-1All Totals Last Season11-5-0OVER
On Road Last Season3-5-0At Home Last Season6-2-0OVER

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