October 25, 2012 3:10 PM CDT

St. Louis Rams vs Chicago Bears 9/23/2012

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The Chicago Bears are a heavy favorite winning 80% of simulations over the St. Louis Rams. Jay Cutler is averaging 200 passing yards and 1.1 TDs per simulation and Michael Bush is projected for 86 rushing yards and a 57% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 20% of simulations where St. Louis Rams wins, Sam Bradford averages 1.23 TD passes vs 0.53 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.71 TDs to 0.97 interceptions. Steven Jackson averages 60 rushing yards and 0.41 rushing TDs when St. Louis Rams wins and 42 yards and 0.19 TDs in losses. Chicago Bears has a 79% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games5-2-0All Games4-2-0St. Louis Rams
Road Games2-1-0Home Games2-1-0No Edge
When Underdog5-2-0When Favored3-1-0Chicago Bears
Non-Division Opp3-2-0Non-Division Opp4-0-0Chicago Bears
Opp .500+ Record3-2-0Opp Under .5001-2-0St. Louis Rams

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games3-12-1All Games8-8-0Chicago Bears
Road Games1-7-0Home Games4-4-0Chicago Bears
When Underdog3-10-1When Favored4-3-0Chicago Bears
Non-Division Opp2-7-1Non-Division Opp5-5-0Chicago Bears
Opp .500+ Record1-4-1Opp Under .5003-4-0Chicago Bears


St. Louis RamsO-U-P RECORDChicago BearsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)3-4-0All Totals (O-U-P)3-3-0UNDER
On Road1-2-0At Home1-2-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season5-9-2All Totals Last Season9-7-0UNDER
On Road Last Season1-6-1At Home Last Season6-2-0UNDER

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