October 25, 2012 3:10 PM CDT

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers 9/13/2012

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The Green Bay Packers are a solid favorite with a 66% chance to beat the Chicago Bears. Cedric Benson is projected for 53 rushing yards and a 29% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 34% of simulations where Chicago Bears wins, Jay Cutler averages 1.61 TD passes vs 0.63 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.3 TDs to 1.16 interceptions. Matt Forte averages 79 rushing yards and 0.7 rushing TDs when Chicago Bears wins and 49 yards and 0.31 TDs in losses. The Green Bay Packers has a 52% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 85% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is GB -5.5 --- Over/Under line is 51.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games4-2-0All Games3-4-0Chicago Bears
Road Games2-1-0Home Games1-2-0Chicago Bears
When Underdog1-1-0When Favored2-4-0Chicago Bears
Division Opp0-2-0Division Opp1-0-0Green Bay Packers
Opp .500+ Record2-0-0Opp .500+ Record3-1-0Chicago Bears

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games8-8-0All Games11-5-0Green Bay Packers
Road Games4-4-0Home Games7-1-0Green Bay Packers
When Underdog4-5-0When Favored10-5-0Green Bay Packers
Division Opp3-3-0Division Opp5-1-0Green Bay Packers
Opp .500+ Record3-3-0Opp .500+ Record5-1-0Green Bay Packers


Chicago BearsO-U-P RECORDGreen Bay PackersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)3-3-0All Totals (O-U-P)5-2-0OVER
On Road2-1-0At Home2-1-0OVER
All Totals Last Season9-7-0All Totals Last Season11-5-0OVER
On Road Last Season3-5-0At Home Last Season7-1-0OVER

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