December 30, 2012 10:52 AM CST

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills 12/30/2012 Game Forecast Preview  
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The Buffalo Bills are a solid favorite with a 62% chance to beat the New York Jets. C.J. Spiller is projected for 110 rushing yards and a 52% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 38% of simulations where New York Jets wins, Mark Sanchez averages 1.17 TD passes vs 0.65 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.77 TDs to 1.28 interceptions. Shonn Greene averages 77 rushing yards and 0.49 rushing TDs when New York Jets wins and 49 yards and 0.2 TDs in losses. The Buffalo Bills has a 51% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games7-8-0All Games6-9-0New York Jets
Road Games4-3-0Home Games3-4-0New York Jets
When Underdog3-5-0When Favored4-2-0Buffalo Bills
Division Opp3-2-0Division Opp2-3-0New York Jets
Opp Under .5002-3-0Opp Under .5004-3-0Buffalo Bills

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games7-9-0All Games6-9-1New York Jets
Road Games3-5-0Home Games4-4-1Buffalo Bills
When Underdog2-3-0When Favored2-4-0New York Jets
Division Opp3-3-0Division Opp2-4-0New York Jets
Opp Under .5003-2-0Opp .500+ Record3-4-1New York Jets


New York JetsO-U-P RECORDBuffalo BillsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)7-6-2All Totals (O-U-P)8-7-0OVER
On Road3-4-0At Home5-2-0OVER
All Totals Last Season10-6-0All Totals Last Season10-5-1OVER
On Road Last Season5-3-0At Home Last Season5-3-0OVER

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