December 30, 2012 10:52 AM CST

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots 12/30/2012 Game Forecast Preview  
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The New England Patriots are a solid favorite with a 72% chance to beat the Miami Dolphins. Stevan Ridley is projected for 61 rushing yards and a 33% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 27% of simulations where Miami Dolphins wins, Ryan Tannehill averages 1.24 TD passes vs 0.71 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.81 TDs to 1.18 interceptions. Reggie Bush averages 73 rushing yards and 0.53 rushing TDs when Miami Dolphins wins and 51 yards and 0.23 TDs in losses. The New England Patriots has a 56% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 88% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Miami DolphinsATS RECORDNew England PatriotsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-7-0All Games8-7-0No Edge
Road Games3-4-0Home Games3-4-0No Edge
When Underdog6-4-0When Favored7-7-0Miami Dolphins
Division Opp3-2-0Division Opp2-3-0Miami Dolphins
Opp .500+ Record4-4-0Opp Under .5002-2-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Miami DolphinsATS RECORDNew England PatriotsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-7-0All Games9-7-0No Edge
Road Games6-2-0Home Games4-4-0Miami Dolphins
When Underdog5-5-0When Favored8-7-0New England Patriots
Division Opp3-3-0Division Opp4-2-0New England Patriots
Opp .500+ Record6-2-0Opp Under .5002-2-0Miami Dolphins


Miami DolphinsO-U-P RECORDNew England PatriotsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)6-9-0All Totals (O-U-P)11-4-0OVER
On Road3-4-0At Home6-1-0OVER
All Totals Last Season4-11-1All Totals Last Season11-5-0UNDER
On Road Last Season2-6-0At Home Last Season5-3-0UNDER

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