February 02, 2014 5:06 AM CST

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins 12/29/2013

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The Miami Dolphins are a solid favorite with a 72% chance to beat the New York Jets. Lamar Miller is projected for 37 rushing yards and a 19% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 28% of simulations where New York Jets wins, Geno Smith averages 0.86 TD passes vs 0.9 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.53 TDs to 1.78 interceptions. Christopher Ivory averages 91 rushing yards and 0.57 rushing TDs when New York Jets wins and 49 yards and 0.16 TDs in losses. The Miami Dolphins has a 43% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games9-6-1All Games9-7-0New York Jets
Road Games3-4-1Home Games5-3-0Miami Dolphins
When Underdog6-3-1When Favored2-5-0New York Jets
Division Opp4-2-0Division Opp2-4-0New York Jets
Opp .500+ Record4-2-1Opp Under .5003-2-0New York Jets

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games7-9-0All Games8-8-0Miami Dolphins
Road Games4-4-0Home Games5-3-0Miami Dolphins
When Underdog3-6-0When Favored2-3-0Miami Dolphins
Division Opp3-3-0Division Opp3-3-0No Edge
Opp Under .5002-3-0Opp Under .5003-2-0Miami Dolphins


New York JetsO-U-P RECORDMiami DolphinsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)8-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)6-9-1UNDER
On Road5-3-0At Home3-5-0OVER
All Totals Last Season8-6-2All Totals Last Season7-9-0No Edge
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season3-5-0UNDER

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