February 02, 2014 5:06 AM CST

Denver Broncos vs Oakland Raiders 12/29/2013

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The Denver Broncos are a heavy favorite winning 80% of simulations over the Oakland Raiders. Peyton Manning is averaging 284 passing yards and 2.96 TDs per simulation and Knowshon Moreno is projected for 51 rushing yards and a 29% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 20% of simulations where Oakland Raiders wins, Terrelle Pryor averages 1.18 TD passes vs 0.83 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.77 TDs to 1.6 interceptions. Rashad Jennings averages 133 rushing yards and 1.14 rushing TDs when Oakland Raiders wins and 68 yards and 0.39 TDs in losses. The Denver Broncos have a 52% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games12-6-0All Games7-9-0Denver Broncos
Road Games5-3-0Home Games3-5-0Denver Broncos
When Favored12-6-0When Underdog6-7-0Denver Broncos
Division Opp5-2-0Division Opp1-5-0Denver Broncos
Opp Under .5004-2-0Opp .500+ Record2-3-0Denver Broncos

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games10-6-0All Games5-11-0Denver Broncos
Road Games5-3-0Home Games2-6-0Denver Broncos
When Favored9-3-0When Underdog4-7-0Denver Broncos
Division Opp4-2-0Division Opp3-3-0Denver Broncos
Opp Under .5005-2-0Opp .500+ Record2-3-0Denver Broncos


Denver BroncosO-U-P RECORDOakland RaidersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)11-7-0All Totals (O-U-P)8-8-0OVER
On Road5-3-0At Home3-5-0OVER
All Totals Last Season11-5-0All Totals Last Season6-9-1OVER
On Road Last Season5-3-0At Home Last Season3-4-1OVER

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