February 02, 2014 5:06 AM CST

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers 11/4/2013

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The Green Bay Packers are a solid favorite with a 70% chance to beat the Chicago Bears. Eddie Lacy is projected for 54 rushing yards and a 35% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 29% of simulations where Chicago Bears wins, Josh McCown averages 1.46 TD passes vs 1.27 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.01 TDs to 2.47 interceptions. Matt Forte averages 110 rushing yards and 0.74 rushing TDs when Chicago Bears wins and 74 yards and 0.33 TDs in losses. The Green Bay Packers has a 47% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 89% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games4-10-2All Games7-9-0Green Bay Packers
Road Games3-5-0Home Games3-5-0No Edge
When Underdog1-8-0When Favored6-5-0Green Bay Packers
Division Opp1-5-0Division Opp3-2-0Green Bay Packers
Opp .500+ Record2-3-0Opp .500+ Record4-3-0Green Bay Packers

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games7-9-0All Games9-7-0Green Bay Packers
Road Games4-4-0Home Games5-3-0Green Bay Packers
When Underdog1-3-0When Favored8-6-0Green Bay Packers
Division Opp1-5-0Division Opp5-1-0Green Bay Packers
Opp .500+ Record3-5-0Opp .500+ Record6-2-0Green Bay Packers


Chicago BearsO-U-P RECORDGreen Bay PackersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)11-4-1All Totals (O-U-P)8-8-0OVER
On Road6-2-0At Home2-6-0OVER
All Totals Last Season9-7-0All Totals Last Season8-8-0OVER
On Road Last Season6-2-0At Home Last Season4-4-0OVER

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