February 02, 2014 5:06 AM CST

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons 11/21/2013

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The New Orleans Saints are a solid favorite with a 66% chance to beat the Atlanta Falcons. Mark Ingram is projected for 46 rushing yards and a 28% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 34% of simulations where Atlanta Falcons wins, Matt Ryan averages 2.71 TD passes vs 0.74 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.66 TDs to 1.21 interceptions. Steven Jackson averages 49 rushing yards and 0.26 rushing TDs when Atlanta Falcons wins and 26 yards and 0.1 TDs in losses. The New Orleans Saints has a 59% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 80% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New Orleans SaintsATS RECORDAtlanta FalconsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-8-1All Games6-9-1New Orleans Saints
Road Games2-7-1Home Games3-4-0Atlanta Falcons
When Favored8-5-0When Underdog5-6-0New Orleans Saints
Division Opp3-3-0Division Opp3-3-0New Orleans Saints
Opp Under .5001-3-0Opp .500+ Record1-5-1New Orleans Saints

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New Orleans SaintsATS RECORDAtlanta FalconsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-8-0All Games9-6-1Atlanta Falcons
Road Games4-4-0Home Games4-4-1No Edge
When Favored5-4-0When Underdog2-0-0Atlanta Falcons
Division Opp3-3-0Division Opp1-4-1New Orleans Saints
Opp .500+ Record2-4-0Opp Under .5002-5-0New Orleans Saints


New Orleans SaintsO-U-P RECORDAtlanta FalconsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)5-13-0All Totals (O-U-P)9-7-0UNDER
On Road1-9-0At Home5-3-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season10-5-1All Totals Last Season5-11-0UNDER
On Road Last Season5-2-1At Home Last Season1-7-0UNDER

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