November 19, 2012 6:37 PM CST

San Diego Chargers vs Denver Broncos 11/18/2012 Game Forecast Preview  
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The Denver Broncos are a solid favorite with a 67% chance to beat the San Diego Chargers. Willis McGahee is projected for 71 rushing yards and a 34% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 33% of simulations where San Diego Chargers wins, Philip Rivers averages 2.3 TD passes vs 0.79 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.67 TDs to 1.44 interceptions. Ryan Mathews averages 65 rushing yards and 0.35 rushing TDs when San Diego Chargers wins and 42 yards and 0.15 TDs in losses. The Denver Broncos has a 65% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

San Diego ChargersATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-5-0All Games6-4-0Denver Broncos
Road Games3-3-0Home Games3-2-0Denver Broncos
When Underdog2-2-0When Favored5-1-0Denver Broncos
Division Opp4-1-0Division Opp2-1-0San Diego Chargers
Opp .500+ Record1-2-0Opp Under .5004-1-0Denver Broncos

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

San Diego ChargersATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-10-0All Games8-9-0Denver Broncos
Road Games3-5-0Home Games2-7-0San Diego Chargers
When Underdog2-5-0When Favored1-5-0San Diego Chargers
Division Opp2-4-0Division Opp3-3-0Denver Broncos
Opp .500+ Record1-7-0Opp .500+ Record4-6-0Denver Broncos


San Diego ChargersO-U-P RECORDDenver BroncosO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)7-3-0All Totals (O-U-P)7-3-0OVER
On Road4-2-0At Home3-2-0OVER
All Totals Last Season8-8-0All Totals Last Season9-7-0OVER
On Road Last Season6-2-0At Home Last Season5-3-0OVER

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