November 19, 2012 6:37 PM CST

New Orleans Saints vs Oakland Raiders 11/18/2012 Game Forecast Preview  
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The New Orleans Saints are a solid favorite with a 70% chance to beat the Oakland Raiders. Christopher Ivory is projected for 26 rushing yards and a 14% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 29% of simulations where Oakland Raiders wins, Carson Palmer averages 1.63 TD passes vs 0.69 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.25 TDs to 1.24 interceptions. Marcel Reece averages 97 rushing yards and 0.66 rushing TDs when Oakland Raiders wins and 60 yards and 0.26 TDs in losses. The New Orleans Saints has a 52% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New Orleans SaintsATS RECORDOakland RaidersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-4-0All Games3-7-0New Orleans Saints
Road Games3-2-0Home Games1-4-0New Orleans Saints
When Favored4-3-0When Underdog3-3-0New Orleans Saints
Non-Division Opp4-3-0Non-Division Opp2-5-0New Orleans Saints
Opp Under .5004-2-0Opp .500+ Record2-1-0New Orleans Saints

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New Orleans SaintsATS RECORDOakland RaidersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games12-5-0All Games10-6-0New Orleans Saints
Road Games4-4-0Home Games4-4-0No Edge
When Favored11-4-0When Underdog8-3-0New Orleans Saints
Non-Division Opp8-3-0Non-Division Opp7-3-0New Orleans Saints
Opp .500+ Record7-1-0Opp .500+ Record7-2-0New Orleans Saints


New Orleans SaintsO-U-P RECORDOakland RaidersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)6-3-1All Totals (O-U-P)5-4-1OVER
On Road3-1-1At Home3-1-1OVER
All Totals Last Season9-7-0All Totals Last Season10-6-0OVER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season5-3-0OVER

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