November 19, 2012 6:37 PM CST

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions 11/18/2012 Game Forecast Preview  
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The Green Bay Packers are a solid favorite with a 65% chance to beat the Detroit Lions. James Starks is projected for 27 rushing yards and a 10% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35% of simulations where Detroit Lions wins, Matthew Stafford averages 2.69 TD passes vs 0.73 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.94 TDs to 1.31 interceptions. Mikel LeShoure averages 57 rushing yards and 0.46 rushing TDs when Detroit Lions wins and 36 yards and 0.2 TDs in losses. The Green Bay Packers has a 59% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 79% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games5-5-0All Games4-6-0Green Bay Packers
Road Games3-2-0Home Games1-3-0Green Bay Packers
When Favored4-5-0When Underdog2-2-0Detroit Lions
Division Opp2-0-0Division Opp1-3-0Green Bay Packers
Opp Under .5001-3-0Opp .500+ Record3-4-0Detroit Lions

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games11-5-0All Games8-9-0Green Bay Packers
Road Games4-4-0Home Games4-4-0No Edge
When Favored10-5-0When Underdog3-3-0Green Bay Packers
Division Opp5-1-0Division Opp1-5-0Green Bay Packers
Opp .500+ Record5-1-0Opp .500+ Record2-6-0Green Bay Packers


Green Bay PackersO-U-P RECORDDetroit LionsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)6-4-0All Totals (O-U-P)6-4-0OVER
On Road3-2-0At Home2-2-0OVER
All Totals Last Season11-5-0All Totals Last Season10-6-0OVER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season3-5-0UNDER

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