November 19, 2012 6:37 PM CST

Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs 11/18/2012 Game Forecast Preview  
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The Cincinnati Bengals are a solid favorite with a 63% chance to beat the Kansas City Chiefs. BenJarvus Green-Ellis is projected for 73 rushing yards and a 41% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 37% of simulations where Kansas City Chiefs wins, Matt Cassel averages 1.09 TD passes vs 0.61 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.79 TDs to 1.13 interceptions. Jamaal Charles averages 90 rushing yards and 0.63 rushing TDs when Kansas City Chiefs wins and 61 yards and 0.28 TDs in losses. The Cincinnati Bengals has a 46% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 83% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Cincinnati BengalsATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-5-1All Games3-7-0Cincinnati Bengals
Road Games3-2-0Home Games1-4-0Cincinnati Bengals
When Favored2-3-1When Underdog3-6-0Cincinnati Bengals
Non-Division Opp4-2-0Non-Division Opp3-4-0Cincinnati Bengals
Opp Under .5002-3-1Opp .500+ Record2-1-0Kansas City Chiefs

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Cincinnati BengalsATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-6-2All Games9-7-0Cincinnati Bengals
Road Games6-1-2Home Games4-4-0Cincinnati Bengals
When Favored4-3-1When Underdog9-4-0Kansas City Chiefs
Non-Division Opp8-2-1Non-Division Opp5-5-0Cincinnati Bengals
Opp Under .5004-1-1Opp .500+ Record6-3-0Cincinnati Bengals


Cincinnati BengalsO-U-P RECORDKansas City ChiefsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)5-5-0All Totals (O-U-P)5-5-0OVER
On Road3-2-0At Home2-3-0OVER
All Totals Last Season10-6-0All Totals Last Season4-12-0UNDER
On Road Last Season5-3-0At Home Last Season1-7-0UNDER

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