February 02, 2014 5:06 AM CST

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos 11/17/2013

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The Denver Broncos are a heavy favorite winning 78% of simulations over the Kansas City Chiefs. Peyton Manning is averaging 302 passing yards and 2.8 TDs per simulation and Knowshon Moreno is projected for 59 rushing yards and a 44% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 21% of simulations where Kansas City Chiefs wins, Alex Smith averages 1.5 TD passes vs 0.44 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.95 TDs to 0.75 interceptions. Jamaal Charles averages 124 rushing yards and 0.99 rushing TDs when Kansas City Chiefs wins and 71 yards and 0.4 TDs in losses. Denver Broncos has a 63% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Kansas City ChiefsATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games10-7-0All Games12-6-0Denver Broncos
Road Games8-1-0Home Games7-3-0Kansas City Chiefs
When Underdog3-2-0When Favored12-6-0Denver Broncos
Division Opp3-3-0Division Opp5-2-0Denver Broncos
Opp .500+ Record2-3-0Opp .500+ Record4-3-0Denver Broncos

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Kansas City ChiefsATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-11-0All Games10-6-0Denver Broncos
Road Games2-6-0Home Games5-3-0Denver Broncos
When Underdog5-10-0When Favored9-3-0Denver Broncos
Division Opp1-5-0Division Opp4-2-0Denver Broncos
Opp .500+ Record3-1-0Opp Under .5005-2-0Kansas City Chiefs


Kansas City ChiefsO-U-P RECORDDenver BroncosO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)8-9-0All Totals (O-U-P)11-7-0OVER
On Road5-4-0At Home6-4-0OVER
All Totals Last Season7-9-0All Totals Last Season11-5-0OVER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season6-2-0OVER

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