Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots 10/27/2013
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
Expect a close game with the Miami Dolphins winning 43% of simulations, and the New England Patriots 57% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Miami Dolphins commit fewer turnovers in 45% of simulations and they go on to win 65% when they take care of the ball. The New England Patriots wins 76% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Lamar Miller is averaging 43 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (15% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. Tom Brady is averaging 270 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (35% chance) then he helps his team win 66%.
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Miami Dolphins | ATS RECORD | New England Patriots | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 9-7-0 | All Games | 9-9-0 | Miami Dolphins |
| Road Games | 4-4-0 | Home Games | 7-2-0 | New England Patriots |
| When Underdog | 7-2-0 | When Favored | 6-6-0 | Miami Dolphins |
| Division Opp | 2-4-0 | Division Opp | 2-4-0 | Miami Dolphins |
| Opp .500+ Record | 5-3-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 3-5-0 | Miami Dolphins |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Miami Dolphins | ATS RECORD | New England Patriots | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 8-8-0 | All Games | 9-7-0 | New England Patriots |
| Road Games | 3-5-0 | Home Games | 4-4-0 | New England Patriots |
| When Underdog | 6-5-0 | When Favored | 8-7-0 | Miami Dolphins |
| Division Opp | 3-3-0 | Division Opp | 3-3-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-4-0 | Opp Under .500 | 2-2-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Miami Dolphins | O-U-P RECORD | New England Patriots | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-9-1 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 10-8-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 3-4-1 | At Home | 6-3-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 7-9-0 | All Totals Last Season | 12-4-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-4-0 | At Home Last Season | 7-1-0 | OVER |
The forecast and trends above do not provide you with AccuScore\'s industry leading ATS and Totals picks. Join AccuScore.com and learn more about our products.
AccuScore rates each pick on a 4 Star System.
The Best Betting Systems report provides detailed simulation accuracy trends.
Many leading handicappers rely on AccuScore Star Ratings and Betting Systems to maximize accuracy.
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game