Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots 10/27/2013
AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
Expect a close game with the Miami Dolphins winning 43% of simulations, and the New England Patriots 57% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Miami Dolphins commit fewer turnovers in 45% of simulations and they go on to win 65% when they take care of the ball. The New England Patriots wins 76% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Lamar Miller is averaging 43 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (15% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. Tom Brady is averaging 270 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (35% chance) then he helps his team win 66%.
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
Miami Dolphins | ATS RECORD | New England Patriots | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
---|---|---|---|---|
All Games | 9-7-0 | All Games | 9-9-0 | Miami Dolphins |
Road Games | 4-4-0 | Home Games | 7-2-0 | New England Patriots |
When Underdog | 7-2-0 | When Favored | 6-6-0 | Miami Dolphins |
Division Opp | 2-4-0 | Division Opp | 2-4-0 | Miami Dolphins |
Opp .500+ Record | 5-3-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 3-5-0 | Miami Dolphins |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
Miami Dolphins | ATS RECORD | New England Patriots | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
---|---|---|---|---|
All Games | 8-8-0 | All Games | 9-7-0 | New England Patriots |
Road Games | 3-5-0 | Home Games | 4-4-0 | New England Patriots |
When Underdog | 6-5-0 | When Favored | 8-7-0 | Miami Dolphins |
Division Opp | 3-3-0 | Division Opp | 3-3-0 | No Edge |
Opp .500+ Record | 4-4-0 | Opp Under .500 | 2-2-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Miami Dolphins | O-U-P RECORD | New England Patriots | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
---|---|---|---|---|
All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-9-1 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 10-8-0 | UNDER |
On Road | 3-4-1 | At Home | 6-3-0 | OVER |
All Totals Last Season | 7-9-0 | All Totals Last Season | 12-4-0 | OVER |
On Road Last Season | 4-4-0 | At Home Last Season | 7-1-0 | OVER |
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