February 02, 2014 5:06 AM CST

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins 10/20/2013

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The Miami Dolphins are a heavy favorite winning 82% of simulations over the Buffalo Bills. Ryan Tannehill is averaging 251 passing yards and 1.4 TDs per simulation and Lamar Miller is projected for 75 rushing yards and a 41% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 18% of simulations where Buffalo Bills wins, Thaddeus Lewis averages 0.76 TD passes vs 0.26 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.4 TDs to 0.5 interceptions. C.J. Spiller averages 87 rushing yards and 0.64 rushing TDs when Buffalo Bills wins and 51 yards and 0.24 TDs in losses. Miami Dolphins has a 57% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games8-8-0All Games9-7-0Miami Dolphins
Road Games2-6-0Home Games5-3-0Miami Dolphins
When Underdog7-7-0When Favored2-5-0Buffalo Bills
Division Opp4-2-0Division Opp2-4-0Buffalo Bills
Opp .500+ Record4-4-0Opp Under .5003-2-0Miami Dolphins

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games7-9-0All Games8-8-0Miami Dolphins
Road Games3-5-0Home Games5-3-0Miami Dolphins
When Underdog2-7-0When Favored2-3-0Miami Dolphins
Division Opp3-3-0Division Opp3-3-0No Edge
Opp Under .5004-3-0Opp Under .5003-2-0Miami Dolphins


Buffalo BillsO-U-P RECORDMiami DolphinsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)10-6-0All Totals (O-U-P)6-9-1OVER
On Road6-2-0At Home3-5-0OVER
All Totals Last Season9-7-0All Totals Last Season7-9-0No Edge
On Road Last Season3-5-0At Home Last Season3-5-0UNDER

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