February 02, 2014 5:06 AM CST

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos 1/19/2014

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The Denver Broncos are a solid favorite with a 72% chance to beat the New England Patriots. Knowshon Moreno is projected for 89 rushing yards and a 52% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 27% of simulations where New England Patriots wins, Tom Brady averages 1.51 TD passes vs 0.4 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.16 TDs to 0.76 interceptions. LeGarrette Blount averages 81 rushing yards and 0.77 rushing TDs when New England Patriots wins and 58 yards and 0.41 TDs in losses. The Denver Broncos has a 61% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 84% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New England PatriotsATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-9-0All Games12-6-0Denver Broncos
Road Games2-7-0Home Games7-3-0Denver Broncos
When Underdog3-3-0When Favored12-6-0Denver Broncos
Non-Division Opp7-5-0Non-Division Opp7-4-0Denver Broncos
Opp .500+ Record3-5-0Opp .500+ Record4-3-0Denver Broncos

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New England PatriotsATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-7-0All Games10-6-0Denver Broncos
Road Games5-3-0Home Games5-3-0No Edge
When Underdog1-0-0When Favored9-3-0New England Patriots
Non-Division Opp6-4-0Non-Division Opp6-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record5-4-0Opp .500+ Record2-4-0New England Patriots


New England PatriotsO-U-P RECORDDenver BroncosO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)10-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)11-7-0OVER
On Road4-5-0At Home6-4-0OVER
All Totals Last Season12-4-0All Totals Last Season11-5-0OVER
On Road Last Season5-3-0At Home Last Season6-2-0OVER

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