January 03, 2014 2:40 AM CST

Miami (FL) vs Louisville 12/28/2013

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Louisville is a solid favorite with a 65% chance to beat Miami (FL). Dominique Brown is projected for 81 rushing yards and a 52% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35% of simulations where Miami (FL) wins, Stephen Morris averages 2.2 TD passes vs 0.75 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.13 TDs to 1.01 interceptions. Dallas Crawford averages 58 rushing yards and 0.95 rushing TDs when Miami (FL) wins and 47 yards and 0.48 TDs in losses. Louisville has a 36% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 76% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LOU -3 --- Over/Under line is 57

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games4-8-0All Games5-6-1Louisville
Road & Neutral Field2-4-0Road & Neutral Field3-2-1Louisville
When Underdog1-2-0When Favored5-6-1Louisville
Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Non-Conference Opp3-0-1Louisville
Opp .500+ Record2-4-0Opp .500+ Record1-3-1Miami (FL)

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games9-2-0All Games6-6-0Miami (FL)
Road & Neutral Field4-2-0Road & Neutral Field3-3-0Miami (FL)
When Underdog5-2-0When Favored4-6-0Miami (FL)
Non-Conference Opp1-2-0Non-Conference Opp4-3-0Louisville
Opp .500+ Record5-2-0Opp .500+ Record2-1-0Miami (FL)


All Totals (O-U-P)6-6-0All Totals (O-U-P)3-9-0UNDER
On Road3-3-0At Home2-4-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season6-5-0All Totals Last Season7-5-0OVER
On Road Last Season5-1-0At Home Last Season4-2-0OVER

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