January 03, 2014 2:40 AM CST

Pittsburgh vs Bowling Green 12/26/2013

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Bowling Green is a solid favorite with a 68% chance to beat Pittsburgh. Travis Greene is projected for 71 rushing yards and a 40% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 32% of simulations where Pittsburgh wins, Tom Savage averages 1.98 TD passes vs 0.48 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.99 TDs to 0.67 interceptions. James Conner averages 70 rushing yards and 0.97 rushing TDs when Pittsburgh wins and 61 yards and 0.5 TDs in losses. Bowling Green has a 35% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 77% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BG -4.5 --- Over/Under line is 49.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games3-9-0All Games9-4-0Bowling Green
Road & Neutral Field2-4-0Road & Neutral Field6-2-0Bowling Green
When Underdog3-5-0When Favored7-3-0Bowling Green
Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Non-Conference Opp2-2-0Bowling Green
Opp .500+ Record2-5-0Opp Under .5004-2-0Bowling Green

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games7-4-0All Games7-5-0Pittsburgh
Road & Neutral Field4-3-0Road & Neutral Field4-3-0No Edge
When Underdog3-3-0When Favored5-2-0Bowling Green
Non-Conference Opp5-4-0Non-Conference Opp1-3-0Pittsburgh
Opp .500+ Record3-2-0Opp Under .5005-0-0Bowling Green


PittsburghO-U-P RECORDBowling GreenO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)6-6-0All Totals (O-U-P)5-8-0UNDER
On Road2-4-0At Home0-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season5-6-0All Totals Last Season2-10-0UNDER
On Road Last Season2-5-0At Home Last Season1-4-0UNDER

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