November 14, 2013 7:39 AM CST

Oregon State vs Arizona State 11/16/2013 Game Forecast Preview  
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Arizona State is a heavy favorite winning 77% of simulations over Oregon State. Taylor Kelly is averaging 302 passing yards and 2.5 TDs per simulation and Marion Grice is projected for 83 rushing yards and a 70% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23% of simulations where Oregon State wins, Sean Mannion averages 3.23 TD passes vs 0.99 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.79 TDs to 1.39 interceptions. Storm Woods averages 51 rushing yards and 0.65 rushing TDs when Oregon State wins and 44 yards and 0.36 TDs in losses. Arizona State has a 35% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ARIST -14 --- Over/Under line is 64.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games4-4-0All Games4-4-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field3-1-0Home Games3-1-0No Edge
When Underdog2-1-0When Favored4-3-0Oregon State
Conference Opp4-2-0Conference Opp4-2-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record3-2-0Opp .500+ Record2-3-0Oregon State

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games7-4-1All Games8-4-0Arizona State
Road & Neutral Field3-2-1Home Games3-2-0No Edge
When Underdog4-1-1When Favored6-1-0Arizona State
Conference Opp5-3-1Conference Opp5-4-0Oregon State
Opp .500+ Record5-2-1Opp .500+ Record4-4-0Oregon State


Oregon StateO-U-P RECORDArizona StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)4-4-0All Totals (O-U-P)7-1-0OVER
On Road3-1-0At Home4-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season7-5-0All Totals Last Season6-6-0OVER
On Road Last Season4-2-0At Home Last Season2-3-0OVER

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