November 14, 2013 7:39 AM CST

Michigan State vs Nebraska 11/16/2013 Game Forecast Preview  
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Michigan State is a solid favorite with a 74% chance to beat Nebraska. Jeremy Langford is projected for 102 rushing yards and a 66% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 26% of simulations where Nebraska wins, Tommy Armstrong averages 1.38 TD passes vs 1.27 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.65 TDs to 1.64 interceptions. Ameer Abdullah averages 81 rushing yards and 0.8 rushing TDs when Nebraska wins and 69 yards and 0.37 TDs in losses. Michigan State has a 53% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NEB +6.5 --- Over/Under line is 42

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games5-3-0All Games4-4-0Michigan State
Road & Neutral Field3-0-0Home Games2-3-0Michigan State
When Favored4-3-0When Underdog1-0-0Nebraska
Conference Opp4-1-0Conference Opp3-2-0Michigan State
Opp .500+ Record4-1-0Opp .500+ Record2-2-0Michigan State

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games5-8-0All Games6-7-0Nebraska
Road & Neutral Field5-1-0Home Games5-1-0No Edge
When Favored2-7-0When Underdog0-2-0Michigan State
Conference Opp3-5-0Conference Opp4-5-0Nebraska
Opp .500+ Record5-5-0Opp .500+ Record5-6-0Michigan State


Michigan StateO-U-P RECORDNebraskaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2-6-0All Totals (O-U-P)3-5-0UNDER
On Road & Neutral Field1-2-0On Road & Neutral Field1-2-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season2-10-1All Totals Last Season8-5-0UNDER
On Road & Neutral Field '121-4-1On Road & Neutral Field '125-2-0UNDER

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