Northwestern vs Penn State 10/6/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Northwestern winning 51% of simulations, and Penn State 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Northwestern commits fewer turnovers in 33% of simulations and they go on to win 63% when they take care of the ball. Penn State wins 60% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Venric Mark is averaging 64 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (20% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Zach Zwinak is averaging 42 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is PAST -3 --- Over/Under line is 48
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Northwestern | ATS RECORD | Penn State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 4-1-0 | All Games | 5-1-0 | Penn State |
| Road & Neutral Field | 1-1-0 | Home Games | 3-1-0 | Penn State |
| When Underdog | 2-1-0 | When Favored | 3-1-0 | Penn State |
| Conference Opp | 1-1-0 | Conference Opp | 2-0-0 | Penn State |
| Opp .500+ Record | 1-1-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-0-0 | Penn State |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
| Northwestern | ATS RECORD | Penn State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 5-7-0 | All Games | 4-8-0 | Northwestern |
| Road & Neutral Field | 4-3-0 | Home Games | 2-4-0 | Northwestern |
| When Underdog | 3-5-0 | When Favored | 2-5-0 | Northwestern |
| Conference Opp | 3-5-0 | Conference Opp | 4-4-0 | Penn State |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-5-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1-2-0 | Penn State |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Northwestern | O-U-P RECORD | Penn State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-2-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 2-4-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 2-0-0 | At Home | 1-3-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals 2010 | 5-7-0 | All Totals 2010 | 2-10-0 | UNDER |
| On Road 2010 | 3-4-0 | At Home 2010 | 0-6-0 | UNDER |
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