October 07, 2012 8:25 PM CDT

Central Michigan vs Toledo 10/6/2012

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Toledo is a heavy favorite winning 82% of simulations over Central Michigan. Terrance Owens is averaging 279 passing yards and 2.6 TDs per simulation and David Fluellen is projected for 117 rushing yards and a 83% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 18% of simulations where Central Michigan wins, Ryan Radcliff averages 2.08 TD passes vs 0.77 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.1 TDs to 1.1 interceptions. Zurlon Tipton averages 66 rushing yards and 0.62 rushing TDs when Central Michigan wins and 58 yards and 0.32 TDs in losses. Toledo has a 63% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TOL -13.5 --- Over/Under line is 66.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games1-3-0All Games5-0-0Toledo
Road & Neutral Field1-2-0Home Games2-0-0Toledo
When Underdog1-3-0When Favored2-0-0Toledo
Conference Opp0-2-0Conference Opp3-0-0Toledo
Opp .500+ Record1-3-0Opp Under .5003-0-0Toledo

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

All Games1-10-0All Games6-6-0Toledo
Road & Neutral Field0-7-0Home Games2-3-0Toledo
When Underdog1-8-0When Favored4-4-0Toledo
Conference Opp1-7-0Conference Opp4-3-0Toledo
Opp .500+ Record0-5-0Opp Under .5003-1-0Toledo


Central MichiganO-U-P RECORDToledoO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)3-0-1All Totals (O-U-P)2-3-0OVER
On Road3-0-0At Home1-1-0OVER
All Totals 20108-3-0All Totals 20107-5-0OVER
On Road 20105-2-0At Home 20104-1-0OVER

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