October 07, 2012 8:25 PM CDT

USC vs Utah 10/4/2012

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USC is a solid favorite with a 73% chance to beat Utah. Silas Redd is projected for 71 rushing yards and a 43% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 27% of simulations where Utah wins, Jon Hays averages 2.13 TD passes vs 0.8 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.15 TDs to 0.92 interceptions. John White averages 62 rushing yards and 0.62 rushing TDs when Utah wins and 53 yards and 0.32 TDs in losses. USC has a 37% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 80% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UTAH +13.5 --- Over/Under line is 47.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games1-4-0All Games2-2-0Utah
Road & Neutral Field0-3-0Home Games2-0-0Utah
When Favored1-4-0When Underdog2-1-0Utah
Conference Opp1-2-0Conference Opp1-1-0Utah
Opp Under .5001-2-0Opp .500+ Record2-2-0Utah

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

All Games7-5-0All Games7-4-1Utah
Road & Neutral Field4-1-0Home Games2-3-1USC
When Favored5-3-0When Underdog5-2-0Utah
Conference Opp5-4-0Conference Opp4-4-1USC
Opp .500+ Record6-3-0Opp .500+ Record4-2-0No Edge


All Totals (O-U-P)2-3-0All Totals (O-U-P)1-3-0UNDER
On Road2-1-0At Home1-1-0OVER
All Totals 20106-6-0All Totals 20105-7-0UNDER
On Road 20103-2-0At Home 20101-4-0UNDER

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