October 25, 2012 6:20 PM CDT

Tennessee vs South Carolina 10/27/2012

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South Carolina is a heavy favorite winning 83% of simulations over Tennessee. Connor Shaw is averaging 235 passing yards and 2.1 TDs per simulation and Marcus Lattimore is projected for 110 rushing yards and a 81% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 17% of simulations where Tennessee wins, Tyler Bray averages 1.99 TD passes vs 0.94 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.94 TDs to 1.33 interceptions. Rajion Neal averages 50 rushing yards and 0.46 rushing TDs when Tennessee wins and 44 yards and 0.24 TDs in losses. South Carolina has a 42% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SC -14 --- Over/Under line is 55.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games2-4-0All Games6-2-0South Carolina
Road & Neutral Field2-1-0Home Games4-0-0South Carolina
When Underdog1-2-0When Favored5-1-0South Carolina
Conference Opp1-3-0Conference Opp4-2-0South Carolina
Opp .500+ Record1-3-0Opp Under .5002-0-0South Carolina

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

All Games4-6-1All Games6-5-1South Carolina
Road & Neutral Field0-3-1Home Games4-2-1South Carolina
When Underdog1-5-1When Favored6-4-1South Carolina
Conference Opp1-6-1Conference Opp4-3-1South Carolina
Opp .500+ Record1-5-1Opp Under .5002-0-1South Carolina


TennesseeO-U-P RECORDSouth CarolinaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)6-0-0All Totals (O-U-P)4-3-1OVER
On Road & Neutral Field3-0-0On Road & Neutral Field3-1-0OVER
All Totals 20104-7-0All Totals 20104-8-0UNDER
On Road & Neutral Field '102-2-0On Road & Neutral Field '103-3-0UNDER

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