October 12, 2012 2:26 PM CDT

Tennessee vs Mississippi State 10/13/2012

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Mississippi State is a solid favorite with a 65% chance to beat Tennessee. LaDarius Perkins is projected for 115 rushing yards and a 68% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35% of simulations where Tennessee wins, Tyler Bray averages 1.97 TD passes vs 0.67 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1 TDs to 0.91 interceptions. Rajion Neal averages 90 rushing yards and 0.77 rushing TDs when Tennessee wins and 81 yards and 0.4 TDs in losses. Mississippi State has a 34% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 76% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MISSST -3 --- Over/Under line is 57.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games2-2-0All Games2-2-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field2-0-0Home Games1-1-0Tennessee
When Underdog1-0-0When Favored2-2-0Tennessee
Conference Opp1-1-0Conference Opp2-0-0Mississippi State
Opp .500+ Record1-1-0Opp .500+ Record0-1-0Tennessee

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

All Games4-6-1All Games4-7-1Tennessee
Road & Neutral Field0-3-1Home Games2-2-0Mississippi State
When Underdog1-5-1When Favored3-4-0Mississippi State
Conference Opp1-6-1Conference Opp3-4-1Mississippi State
Opp .500+ Record1-5-1Opp Under .5002-4-0Mississippi State


TennesseeO-U-P RECORDMississippi StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)4-0-0All Totals (O-U-P)0-4-0No Edge
On Road2-0-0At Home0-2-0No Edge
All Totals 20104-7-0All Totals 20104-8-0UNDER
On Road 20102-2-0At Home 20100-5-0UNDER

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