October 12, 2012 2:26 PM CDT

Northwestern vs Minnesota 10/13/2012

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Northwestern is a solid favorite with a 65% chance to beat Minnesota. Venric Mark is projected for 63 rushing yards and a 41% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35% of simulations where Minnesota wins, Max Shortell averages 2.49 TD passes vs 0.62 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.23 TDs to 0.8 interceptions. Donnell Kirkwood averages 68 rushing yards and 0.74 rushing TDs when Minnesota wins and 60 yards and 0.37 TDs in losses. Northwestern has a 40% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 76% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MIN +3.5 --- Over/Under line is 50.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games4-1-0All Games2-2-0Northwestern
Road & Neutral Field1-1-0Home Games2-0-0Minnesota
When Favored2-0-0When Underdog1-1-0Northwestern
Conference Opp1-1-0Conference Opp0-1-0Northwestern
Opp .500+ Record1-1-0Opp .500+ Record0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.

All Games5-7-0All Games6-5-0Minnesota
Road & Neutral Field4-3-0Home Games3-3-0Northwestern
When Favored2-2-0When Underdog5-4-0Minnesota
Conference Opp3-5-0Conference Opp4-4-0Minnesota
Opp Under .5002-2-0Opp Under .5002-2-0No Edge


NorthwesternO-U-P RECORDMinnesotaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)3-2-0All Totals (O-U-P)1-3-0UNDER
On Road2-0-0At Home0-2-0No Edge
All Totals 20105-7-0All Totals 20104-6-1UNDER
On Road 20103-4-0At Home 20101-4-1UNDER

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